First the good news for Hillary - -

http://www.gallup.com/poll/106606/Gallup -Daily-Clinton-46-Obama-45.aspx

In the Gallup national tracking poll -
Clinton has gained six points while Obama has lost six -
Both statistically significant.  Just before next Tuesday.
And since the Gallup daily poll is a three-day average -
Clinton's numbers are likely to rise even further.

This is the map that the Obama campaign is desperately trying to avoid.
This is the map that will insure that Obama does NOT receive the Democratic nomination.

This is why the Obama campaign worked behind the scenes to prevent any revotes in Florida and Michigan.
This is why Howard Dean is demanding that super delegates decide now.

Obama knows that if he loses the last nine out of ten, he will be seen as a loser.

Copyright - Warner Bros.
Fair Use - as political parody
http://www.copyright.gov/fls/fl102.html

Take a look at the purple states on the map below -

Map by Johnnygunn

What do you see?

It's been a month since many Clinton supporters walked out of the Daily Kos website.  Despite all of the "Don't let the door hit you in the ass!" comments we received, there seems to have been a clear impact of traffic volume at Daily Kos.  It's down.  Significantly.

Yes, indeed.
The chickens are coming home to roost.

So in the spirit of chickendom, I have included a selection of photos from the Office of War Information / Farm Security Administration Collection at the Library of Congress.

Girl with a Chicken, 1942

Let's see if I get this right.  It's late October.  I turn on my TV and flip through the channels.  On every other channel is an ad with a preacher saying, "God damn America!!"  On the other channels there is an ad with a picture of a big Georgian mansion next to another picture of a tenement building.  Then a voiceover, "Is this the kind of change you want?"

Sure it's nasty.  Sure it's Rovian.  But if Barack Obama is the Democratic nominee it is guaranteed to happen.  Obama will be lucky if he does as well as McGovern or Mondale.  Whether you like the Clinton meme of experience or not, you have to admit that Obama's primary appeal is message.  And if his message no longer resonates, his campaign has no chance.  Obama does not have to be convicted of any wrongdoing with regards to Rezko.  Obama does not have to seen in the sermon videos alongside Rev. Wright.    If Obama begins to be perceived as just another Chicago politician, it is all over.